CASPAR CAN GHOST HOME IN MIDDLE PARK

- Four of the last 10 favourites have been successful.
- All of the last 10 winners won their preceding start.
- Five of the last 10 winners were unbeaten, only one had been beaten more than twice.
- All of the last 10 winners had won over six furlongs.
- Seven of the last 10 winners made their debut no earlier than June.
- Seven of the last 10 winners were successful on debut.
- Nine of the last 10 winners had won in Listed company or higher.

Summary

The Prix Morny in which Family One was second to Dabirsim has proved the best guide to the race with four recent winners completing the double whilst there have been two apiece from each of the Mill Reef Stakes and the Gimcrack (both won by Caspar Netscher). In the absence of the Morny winner, Family One is the clear favourite but all of the last 10 winners were successful on their previous outing which only a quarter of the field can boast. In keeping with most recent winners Rebellious Guest didn't debut until June whereas Reply was out in April and Bapak Chinta and Caspar Netscher in May. Neither Rebellious Guest nor Reply have any black type winning form to their name and only Oasis Dream in the last decade has defied that statistic. Bapak Chinta's two wins have been over five whereas all of the previous 10 winners have had winning form over six furlongs which leaves CASPAR NETSCHER who has had more starts than any recent winner with only Dark Angel coming close with seven and the similarities with Barry Hills' winner don't stop there as Dark Angel had been beaten on four occasions prior to winning here.

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