martes, 16 de agosto de 2011

LOOK TO REGENT STREET FOR VALUE


A powerful Irish presence is expected throughout the four day of York's Ebor meeting and Await The Dawn is widely expected to get the meeting off to a perfect start for Aidan O'Brien by landing the featured Juddmonte International Stakes on Wednesday.

The four-year-old indicated that he was a Group 1 winner in waiting when he recorded a hugely impressive victroy in a Leopardstown Group 3 last September. In two starts this term he has reinforced that impression with commanding victories at Chester and, most recently, in the Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Await The Dawn faces his biggest test to date in the Juddmonte though where he takes on a field headed by Midday and Twice Over. The latter rediscovered some form to score ver this course and distance last month but it is Midday who looks the biggest threat to the favourite. She bounced back to her very best to win the Nassau Stakes last time and another strong showing is expected from the Henry Cecil star.

Await The Dawn could well have further room for improvement and might just shade the verdict but at the likely odds this is a race to watch as opposed to get heavily involved in.

Aidan O'Brien has a couple of other very strong chances on the card and his Furner's Green is the selection in the Group 3 Acomb Stakes.

The Dylan Thomas colt made quite an impression on his debut at Tipperary last month when he ran out a clear cut winner of an extended seven furlongs maiden. That performance marked him out as one ready to hold his own in a higher grade and he could take some beating here.

The form of Furner's Green maiden win wasn't done any harm by Battle Of Saratoga and East Meets West, who both line up here, in a Listed race at Tipperary recently. They were second and fourth to Furner's Green in that aforementioned maiden and stepped forward to finish second and third in that Tiperary Listed race. East Meets West looked especially unlucky there as he was denied a run for most of the straight and with a clear passage he would have won.

In the Great Voltigeur Stakes Seville must have every chance of cementing his credentials as a leading hope for next month's Ladbrokes St Leger.

The Ballydoyle inmate followed a fine second in the Irish Derby with a cracking effort in the Grand Prix de Paris where he was only reeled in late on. That level of form is by some way the best on offer and he will take a good deal of beating.

The value here though could lie with stablemate Regent Street. He does not deserve to be the outsider of the field and has the capacity to reach the frame.

Quite possibly he found the two miles of the Queen's Vase beyond him last time while his two previous efforts stand up to close scrutiny. In May he was a good third to Recital and Memphis Tennessee in the Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial and the previous month he lost very little in defeat when going down to Banimpire in the Ballysax Stakes.

His best form gives him a credible chance and it would come as no surprise to see him challenge for a place in the frame.

Recommendations:

2.30: Furner's Green 2pts win

3.05: Regent Street 1pt e/w

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